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Tough to cut South China Sea deal with Beijing by 2026, say experts

today10 December 2025

Background


Analysts say interpretation of international law and nature of activities in the South China Sea are among the stumbling blocks that are likely to prevent China and Asean from coming to an agreement. (EPA Images pic)
PETALING JAYA:

Foreign policy experts believe it will be tough for Asean to finalise the long-awaited South China Sea code of conduct in 2026, the year when the Philippines leads the regional bloc at chair.

Joanne Lin, senior fellow at Singapore’s ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, said it is almost certain the code will be among the new Asean chair’s top priorities due to its escalating maritime tensions with China.

While Manila will push for a legally binding code of conduct, Lin said, progress will be hindered by China and Asean’s disagreement on key issues concerning the South China Sea, such as the interpretation of international law and what activities the code should regulate.

“So, while the Philippines will inject urgency and political weight into the…

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Written by: Nicholas Chung


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